Important: A list of references is provided on each page containing "burning ember" data. These references must be provided whenever the data is used. The references provided here relate to application documentation or to additional data.
IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 3−32, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.001.
Bindoff, N. L., Cheung, W. W. L., Kairo, J. G., Arístegui, J., Guinder, V. A., Hallberg, R., Hilmi, N., Jiao, N., Karim, M. S., Levin, L., O’Donoghue, S., Purca, S. R., Rinkevich, B., Suga, T., Tagliabue, A., and Williamson, P.: Changing Ocean, Marine Ecosystems, Dependent Communities, edited by: Pörtner, H.-O., Roberts, D. C., Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Tignor, M., Poloczanska, E., Mintenbeck, K., Alegría, A., Nicolai, M., Okem, A., Petzold, J., Rama, B., and Weyer, N. M., IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate, 447–587, https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157964.007, 2019.
O’Neill, B., van Aalst, M., Zaiton Ibrahim, Z., Berrang Ford, L., Bhadwal, S., Buhaug, H., Diaz, D., Frieler, K., Garschagen, M., Magnan, A., Midgley, G., Mirzabaev, A., Thomas, A., and Warren, R.: Key Risks Across Sectors and Regions, edited by: Pörtner, H. O., Roberts, D. C., Tignor, M., Poloczanska, E. S., Mintenbeck, K., Alegría, A., Craig, M., Langsdorf, S., Löschke, S., Möller, V., Okem, A., and Rama, B., Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009325844.025, 2022.
Mastrandrea, M. D., Field, C. B., Stocker, T. F., Edenhofer, O., Ebi, K. L., Frame, D. J., Held, H., Kriegler, E., Mach, K. J., Matschoss, P. R., Plattner, G.-K., Zwiers, F. W., and Matschoss, P. R.: Guidance Note for Lead Authors of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report on Consistent Treatment of Uncertainties, IPCC, Jasper Ridge, CA, USA, ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/05/uncertainty-guidance-note.pdf, 2010.
Marbaix, P., Magnan, A. K., Muccione, V., Thorne, P. W., and Zommers, Z.: Climate change risks illustrated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) “burning embers,” Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 17, 317–349, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-317-2025, 2025.
Marbaix, P.: Dataset regarding the « Reasons for concern » about climate change from figures in IPCC and related publications, Zenodo, https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4011178, 2020a.
Marbaix, P: Code for analysing data and producing figures from the "burning embers" database (1.1.0). Zenodo, https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12799900, 2024.
Smith, J. B., Schellnhuber, H.-J., Mirza, M. M. Q., Fankhauser, S., Leemans, R., Erda, L., Ogallo, L., Pittock, B., Richels, R., Rosenzweig, C., Safriel, U., Tol, R. S. J., Weyant, J., and Yohe, G.: Vulnerability to Climate Change and Reasons for Concern: A Synthesis. In: Climate change 2001: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the third assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [James J. McCarthy, Osvaldo F. Canziani, Neil A. Leary, David J. Dokken, and Kasey S. White (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, pp. 913-967. url: https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/wg2TARchap19.pdf, 2001
Wilkinson, M. D., Dumontier, M., Aalbersberg, Ij. J., Appleton, G., Axton, M., Baak, A., Blomberg, N., Boiten, J.-W., Da Silva Santos, L. B., Bourne, P. E., Bouwman, J., Brookes, A. J., Clark, T., Crosas, M., Dillo, I., Dumon, O., Edmunds, S., Evelo, C. T., Finkers, R., Gonzalez-Beltran, A., Gray, A. J. G., Groth, P., Goble, C., Grethe, J. S., Heringa, J., ’T Hoen, P. A. C., Hooft, R., Kuhn, T., Kok, R., Kok, J., Lusher, S. J., Martone, M. E., Mons, A., Packer, A. L., Persson, B., Rocca-Serra, P., Roos, M., Van Schaik, R., Sansone, S.-A., Schultes, E., Sengstag, T., Slater, T., Strawn, G., Swertz, M. A., Thompson, M., Van Der Lei, J., Van Mulligen, E., Velterop, J., Waagmeester, A., Wittenburg, P., Wolstencroft, K., Zhao, J., and Mons, B.: The FAIR Guiding Principles for scientific data management and stewardship, Sci Data, 3, 160018, https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2016.18, 2016.
Zommers, Z., Marbaix, P., Fischlin, A., Ibrahim, Z. Z., Grant, S., Magnan, A. K., Pörtner, H.-O., Howden, M., Calvin, K., Warner, K., Thiery, W., Sebesvari, Z., Davin, E. L., Evans, J. P., Rosenzweig, C., O’Neill, B. C., Patwardhan, A., Warren, R., van Aalst, M. K., and Hulbert, M.: Burning embers: towards more transparent and robust climate-change risk assessments, Nat Rev Earth Environ, https://doi.org/10/gg985p, 2020.