Southern Australia and southeast New Zealand: kelp forests - low adaptation
Loss of kelp forests in southern Australia and southeast New Zealand due to ocean warming, marine heatwaves and overgrazing by climate-driven range extensions of herbivore fish and urchins (low adaptation scenario). [Table SM11.2c]
Undetectable to moderate (white to yellow) |
min |
0.4
|
high confidence
|
max |
0.6
|
(information on this transition is not available yet)
Moderate to high (yellow to red) |
min |
0.9
|
high confidence
|
max |
1.1
|
(information on this transition is not available yet)
High to very high (red to purple) |
min |
1.1
|
medium confidence
|
max |
1.9
|
(information on this transition is not available yet)
The data for the transition from high to very high risk is not entirely available in the SM. For this transition, we used the data from the IPCC Data Distribution Centre, 2023 (see specific reference for this ember).
ecosystems, coast, ocean, RKR-B.O
IPCC Data Distribution Centre, 2023: Data used in the Assessment Report 6 from Working Group II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for the production of Figure SPM.3; Figure TS.3; Figure 11.6; Figure AI.46, version 0.0.1, DOI: 10.48490/tfq2-9814
Lawrence, J., B. Mackey, F. Chiew, M.J. Costello, K. Hennessy, N. Lansbury, U.B. Nidumolu, G. Pecl, L. Rickards, N. Tapper, A. Woodward, and A. Wreford, 2022: Australasia. In: Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. [Pörtner, H.-O., D.C. Roberts, M. Tignor, E.S. Poloczanska, K. Mintenbeck, A. Alegría, M. Craig, S. Langsdorf, S. Löschke, V. Möller, A. Okem, B. Rama (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, pp. 1581-1688. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009325844.013
Alternative direct download: www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGII_Chapter11.pdf
Data and additional information are usually obtained from the supplementary material (SM):
Lawrence, J., B. Mackey, F. Chiew, M.J. Costello, K. Hennessy, N. Lansbury, U.B. Nidumolu, G. Pecl, L. Rickards, N. Tapper, A. Woodward, and A. Wreford, 2022: Australasia Supplementary Material. In: Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. [Pörtner, H.-O., D.C. Roberts, M. Tignor, E.S. Poloczanska, K. Mintenbeck, A. Alegría, M. Craig, S. Langsdorf, S. Löschke, V. Möller, A. Okem, B. Rama (eds.)], url: www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGII_Chapter11_SM.pdf
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However, every effort is made to ensure that data resulting from IPCC assessments are accurately represented here, with due reference to sources.
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Last updated on Sept. 26, 2024, 12:59 p.m..